Next 10 games - Points prediction time

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Next 10 games - Points prediction time

30 points
7
11%
24-28 points (minimum 7 wins)
19
29%
20-23 points (minimum 5 wins)
19
29%
15-19 points (minimum 3 wins)
13
20%
10-14 points (minimum 1 win)
6
9%
0-9 points
2
3%
 
Total votes : 66

Postby Owzat » Thu Feb 11, 2010 8:01 am

I think getting more than a point last night would have been VERY optimistic, certainly we've picked up a few points where we might have dropped some but equally some of the games we should have won we've dropped points in too.

Next 10 league games (and last season's corresponding results)

Aston Villa (a) D0-0 09/10 W1-0
Tottenham (h) W3-1 09/10 W2-0
Stoke (a) D0-0 09/10 D1-1
Wolves (a) n/a 09/10 D0-0
Bolton (h) W3-0 09/10 W2-0
Everton (h) D1-1 09/10 W1-0
Arsenal (a) D1-1 09/10 L0-1
Man City (a) W3-2
Blackburn (h) W4-0
Wigan (a) D1-1

08/09 P9 W4 D5 L0 F16 A6 PTS 17 (out of 27)
09/10 P7 W4 D2 L1 F7 A2 PTS 14 (out of 21)

Inevitable really, we're still stuck in a rut of not scoring more than one goal often enough. Even in a run of seven unbeaten we only netted nine goals and two was the most in any one game (three times). Nice even split now for my much quoted comparison :

0-1 goals : P13 W2 D3 L8 F7 A17 PTS 9
2+ goals : P13 W11 D2 L0 F36 A10 PTS 35

When is Rafa going to learn? We scored more freely at the end of last season and won 10 out of 11, we now struggle to score and yet he consistently plays two DMs a CB at RB and even against weaker sides is reluctant to put out more attacking players.

Did you know that in said aforementioned 11 game run including 10 wins on the tail end of last season that we only scored one goal ONCE? We scored 34 goals, there were some pretty winnable games in there BUT we also scored four past the mancs AT THEIR'S and four against the goners who we've put only two past in three games this season.

Tough going ahead, 23 points is now the maximum and the game against Citeh will be crucial.
Last edited by Owzat on Thu Feb 11, 2010 8:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Owzat » Mon Feb 22, 2010 8:10 am

Next 10 league games (and last season's corresponding results)

Aston Villa (a) D0-0 09/10 W1-0
Tottenham (h) W3-1 09/10 W2-0
Stoke (a) D0-0 09/10 D1-1
Wolves (a) n/a 09/10 D0-0
Bolton (h) W3-0 09/10 W2-0
Everton (h) D1-1 09/10 W1-0
Arsenal (a) D1-1 09/10 L0-1
Man City (a) W3-2 09/10 D0-0
Blackburn (h) W4-0
Wigan (a) D1-1

08/09 P9 W4 D5 L0 F16 A6 PTS 17 (out of 27)
09/10 P8 W4 D3 L1 F7 A2 PTS 15 (out of 24)

We're just about clinging on for the 20-23 points bracket, if we beat both Blackburn and Wigan. Any dropped points and we'll drop into the next bracket. We are set to beat last season, but that wasn't an awe inspiring set of results so not exactly demanding. Two draws converted to wins, one draw converted to a loss. Maybe we've picked up points we might not have anticipated at villa, but we then drop points at Stoke and Wolves. It's what you might call one step forward, two steps back.
Last edited by Owzat on Mon Feb 22, 2010 8:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Owzat » Mon Mar 01, 2010 7:54 am

Next 10 league games (and last season's corresponding results)

Aston Villa (a) D0-0 09/10 W1-0
Tottenham (h) W3-1 09/10 W2-0
Stoke (a) D0-0 09/10 D1-1
Wolves (a) n/a 09/10 D0-0
Bolton (h) W3-0 09/10 W2-0
Everton (h) D1-1 09/10 W1-0
Arsenal (a) D1-1 09/10 L0-1
Man City (a) W3-2 09/10 D0-0
Blackburn (h) W4-0 09/10 W2-1
Wigan (a) D1-1

08/09 P9 W4 D5 L0 F16 A6 PTS 17 (out of 27)
09/10 P9 W5 D3 L1 F9 A3 PTS 18 (out of 27)

Keeping us in the battle for fourth, but goals are a worry. Having played sides like Blackburn, Bolton, bitters, Wolves and Stoke I would have hoped we'd have AT LEAST nine goals just against them, if not a lot more. Points are points, but if we don't show more convincing then we're unlikely to challenge next season without a serious overhaul of players if not manager
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Postby Owzat » Tue Mar 09, 2010 7:51 am

Next 10 league games (and last season's corresponding results)

Aston Villa (a) D0-0 09/10 W1-0
Tottenham (h) W3-1 09/10 W2-0
Stoke (a) D0-0 09/10 D1-1
Wolves (a) n/a 09/10 D0-0
Bolton (h) W3-0 09/10 W2-0
Everton (h) D1-1 09/10 W1-0
Arsenal (a) D1-1 09/10 L0-1
Man City (a) W3-2 09/10 D0-0
Blackburn (h) W4-0 09/10 W2-1
Wigan (a) D1-1 09/10 L0-1

08/09 P9 W4 D5 L0 F16 A6 PTS 17 (out of 27)
09/10 P10 W5 D3 L2 F9 A4 PTS 18 (out of 30)

Well 45 out of 65 voters (69%) were overoptimistic, while 18 points isn't a bad return, it is only on course for 68 points which last was enough to finish 4th in 06/07 when we finished 3rd ahead of Arsenal in 4th only on GD. Sadly though that is better form than our overall season which is heading for 63 points, while I do agree we should pick up more than 15 points from our remaining nine games, we do face Chelsea and the mancs, and if we can lose away to Wigan then I'm sure we can drop points against better sides
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