by vlady16.1 » Fri Dec 31, 2010 6:39 pm
in a way i feel sorry for roy. he was hired by g&h so nesv would certainly want thier own man. he was dead man walking. i assume they know exactly who they want but cannot get him yet, so roy keeps his job. the players and roy know he is on death row.
why would roy take the job?
1) did a good job at fulham and could have been a star there
2) an intelligent man would have seen that g&h were on their way out and the new owners would want their own guy
3) why take a job no-one would touch with a barge pole?
why did nesv keep him on?
due to great manouvering i think they got us for ~ 60cents on the dollar. the could have waited till bankrupcy and got us for ~ 30 cents so why didn't they? only one reason relegation fears
they are businessmen but know sports. they took the red sox (who due to the curse of the bambino never won in around 80 yrs and won in 3 yrs) and made it into an icon. they saw that in pool. roy looked a sure bet to keep the team up and into a top 6 finish, so all could be fixed. they would have known alot about him, but the court case was more important than finding a new manager.
now the relegation issue rears its ugly head. being a baseball owner they know about bad streaks etc and that rash move often makes things worse. a manager on the sidelines doesn't have a job and many for a reason. fr short stay in turkey, rafa in italy, mon at villa, jol in wb.....why? so these guys may not be the answer.
king kenny....an obvious choice with big downside. if he fails, the brand is very tarnished. he would be my emergency response so that he can rally the team enuff to save the day....i worry that he will have an impact that runs hot and fast and that his absence from the game makes a long term success very improbable, BUT if a 10 game span is needed he could be the man and he wouldn't take the blame.
i think it is too early for the king, so what do you do....lets assume that nesv has consulted the core players and knows exactly what is going on. a new manager would probably not be able to change the staff so what impact can he bring..it will take time to know the players and gain their trust. friends we have a real problem here. a change could make it much worse. coaches who know they are gone so don't care, players who need to buy in.....the season could be lost....
so what choice do they have? roy must go so what do you do?
5 options as i see it
1) keep roy and hope he turns it around. null option
2) splash big and hire your man now. you know who that is
3) hire a gunslinger short term...problem is it really may fail and you will really pay big...could crash and what if he does really well....he ain't your guy
4) hire rafa short term...if and only if he still has respect of the players....he will have something to prove, but same problems as above and he would have extreme power if he succeeded
5) king kenny...hope he still has the flame burning bright at the end of the season...i worry that he will be good for 5 and a max of 10 games then the flame will burn out. he has been out of it for a long time. his is just too valuable to the team to be allowed to fail. i think he would do ok and would immediately win the fans but what about the players? tactics can't be worse
so nesv has a real problem which i assume they are addressing. i guess that they didn't ever envision roy being such a dud and just hoped he lasted the season. what will they choose?