How good is rafa in the transfer market?

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How good is rafa in the transfer market?

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Total votes : 48

Postby Sabre » Wed Jun 10, 2009 11:26 pm

bigmick wrote:
GYBS wrote:wow did you really take time out to count the words Mick ? my god thats dedication to the cause

I did, but you obviously did afterwards to check  :laugh: . I don't know who's sadder (although I'll concede it's probably me   :D ).

I always wondered what was the use of word count in  Microsoft Word.

Now I know  :laugh: There are programs that will that work for you mates  :D

Look, it's the closed season and it's the job of newspapers to "speculate". It keeps everyone interested. The alternative is, we all switch off our computers and our minds to football, and turn up game one next season. Then we can say "feck me who's that new goalie we've signed who's on the bench" (we normally do pick up a couple of goalies each Summer), "who's that new left back from Italy, HOW FECKING MUCH!!!!!" etc.

Now in "speculating" the papers talk quite a lot of b0llocks. That's Ok though, quite a lot of people on here including me talk quite a lot of b0ll0cks too, and we don't even get paid for it like they do. You hear wild rumours, but occasionally rumours become "speculation". They become speculation by virtue of the type of journals which talk about them, who says them, what quotes are included etc.

Now both the transfers of Masherano and Alonso are no longer rumours, they are speculation. I think it's fairly clear that Ral Madrid wouldn't mind signing Xabi, but also fairly clear that Rafa wouldn't overly fancy selling him. Equally and ditto fashion with Masherano and Barcelona.

This is where people like you get a bit silly though GYBS. Now because it's bad form and it would push the price up, neither Barcelona nor Real Madrid come out and say "we want this player at all costs". Because it would push the price down and would be bad form, Rafa doesn't say "I really want to sell this player". And because it would be bad form and he'd run the risk of being hated by the fans, players don't say "I'd really like to feck off from this place and go play somewhere else".

So you get quotes from Madrid along the lines of "Xabi Alonso is a fantastic Spanish player, and of course we'd like him to play for us but it seems unlikely that Rafa Benitez would want to sell".

You get Rafa saying "Clearly Xabi is not for sale, clearly we know he is an important player".

You get masherano saying "Of course I am very flattered to be spoken of by a top club like Barcelona, but I am under contract to Liverpool and I'm happy here".

Now anyone with any sense, knows the real meaning behind all the statements. Some numpties though sieze upon them, and say "Aha!!, told you!!! It was all specualtion".

It may end up not coming to pass, but there is at least a possibility we could lose a central midfielder this Summer, time will tell.

Can you when you answer this one GYBS make it a) longer than one line, and b) coherent. The reason why I called another post "strange" was that it made no sense to me at all. When you went off on that bit where you asking questions and then answering them yourself, none of which related to the actual discussion I thought you'd finally lost the plot completely. "Is Crouch better than Torres? No he isn't" and all that sort of thing. Had me worried for a bit there.


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Last edited by Sabre on Wed Jun 10, 2009 11:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby mrt » Wed Jun 10, 2009 11:30 pm

Owzat - Reina over Dudek COMFORTABLY?  Until the Forlan fiasco Jerzy was solid and his first season was arguably the best we've seen from a keeper since Clem/Brucie.  It's hard to argue with the number of clean sheets Pepe keeps, but I don't think it's as clear cut as you make out. Not havin' a pop, just my opinion :)
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Postby GYBS » Wed Jun 10, 2009 11:32 pm

Ah right - Do you mean the period when crouch was on fire during the CL run but couldnt score in the prem  to the point where Kuyt was our top scorer in the league , will agree that crouch should of played in the final and was disappointed he didnt
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Postby bigmick » Thu Jun 11, 2009 12:05 pm

Well I've just been looking at the numbers, and by my reckoning we've now outspent the Mancs over these last five years ??? :;): :)
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Postby GYBS » Thu Jun 11, 2009 12:06 pm

:laugh:

is that net or gross
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Postby tubby » Thu Jun 11, 2009 12:09 pm

bigmick wrote:Well I've just been looking at the numbers, and by my reckoning we've now outspent the Mancs over these last five years ??? :;): :)

Doesn't matter mate. How many player did Fergie have in place when Rafa started? Half the squad roughly. How many players does Rafa still have from that year? - 2. Rafa has had to rebuild the squad where as Fergie has just added 20-30Mil players here and there.

Also take a look at Fergies first 5 years at Utd and work out his average position and same for Rafas and you will see that Rafa has done miles better.

There is a good article I am looking for 1 sec....
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Postby GYBS » Thu Jun 11, 2009 12:10 pm

Bav i think mick was joking mainly because the mancs are about to get 80 mil in fees
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Postby tubby » Thu Jun 11, 2009 12:11 pm

Oh ok and I had this article alll ready. :D Well I guess it's fitting in the context of this thread anyway seeing as people are looking at how he has managed his money.

TOMKINS: FERGUSON IS WRONG
Paul Tomkins 23 March 2009

Thankfully, most media outlets seem to have seen the massive inaccuracy in Alex Ferguson's figures relating to Liverpool's spending.

That he should even choose to come out with such figures in the first place is interesting, given his rather undignified reaction to Rafa's 'fact' press conference a couple of months back.

I'm also still smiling over his 'we were the better side' comments following their total humiliation last week, which every neutral I've spoken to found hilarious. That United played so well was obviously the reason Old Trafford was so empty in the last 10 minutes. He's also had a pop by excluding Rafa's name from the best managers in the league, which seems a bit childish for a pensioner.

You can't argue with Ferguson's success as a manager, but you can with some of the things he says.

This season may be a learning curve for Liverpool, with the league United's to lose even before their two main rivals were drawn against each other in the Champions League (which yet means the teams aspiring to catch United play each other in titanic, exhausting battles, as seen with Chelsea and Arsenal facing Liverpool last season while United get the easy draw.)

But the United manager is clearly worried, particularly as stability has been put in place at Anfield regarding the manager's future.

That the United manager should already be talking about Liverpool's future spending is fascinating. Why do so, unless he's worried?

Ferguson talks about the young players United have signed, and bizarrely says that Rafa, a man who started out in youth development, does things differently.

Perhaps Torres, Reina, Alonso, Mascherano, Agger, Lucas, Babel and Skrtel weren't all young players – aged 20-23 – when Rafa signed them after all, and all the teenage talent brought to the club, including Insua, Nemeth, Pacheco, Plessis and Ngog, is just a mirage?

How many players in their 30s has Rafa brought to the club? I can't think of one before or after Pellegrino, at 33, in 2005. Nor one as old as Henrik Larsson or Edwin van der Sar.

Robbie Keane was the oldest major signing Benítez has made, and perhaps the fact that he turns 29 this summer was why he was shipped out so quickly; at that age, if it doesn't look like it's working, you can't bide your time, particularly if a good offer comes in before the age-related depreciation takes place.

But the major flaw in Ferguson's argument is the fact that he already had half of his squad in place in 2004 when Rafa arrived.

He hasn't needed to rebuild an entire squad from scratch, merely add the £15m-£30m adornments. Rafa has clearly had to deal in quantity to cover all positions, but Ferguson has had the luxury of looking solely at quality.

So the two situations are poles apart. Ferguson had already spent big on players like Rio Ferdinand before Rafa pitched up.

He already had the players who emerged because of his youth system, which took almost seven years to bear fruit beyond one player (Giggs emerged in year five). Benítez would only be at that stage in 2011.

Indeed, if you add together every single player Rafa has bought (and there have been around 60, many of whom were mere kids), it still does not reach the total cost of United's current squad.

Even if you also add the cost of those players Rafa inherited who are still at the club (and there are just three), it still does not reach the total cost of United's current squad.

Including players out on loan (but not the full Tevez fee due this summer), United's squad costs over £215m, compared with Liverpool's £134m.

Let me remind you of what I said a few weeks back:

“Unless Ferguson is banned from fielding players like Ferdinand and Ronaldo (which would be illogical), or forced to start from scratch in 2004 (again illogical), it is not a fair comparison, is it? – I mean, come on, use your brain for a second here.”

Benítez is trying to overturn an established superpower, one that still has a dozen-or-so players who predate his arrival in England. Rafa has just three who were good enough and young enough to endure (not that Hyypia was young, but like Giggs he is evergreen).

As well as buy players, Rafa has had to change the culture of the club to fit in with his ideas, as all managers do; Ferguson did that 20 years ago. It's why it took him so long to win the title, as you cannot change things overnight.

Unless Benítez was going to try and compete for honours with the likes of Diao, Cheyrou, and Diouf, or players like Smicer, Dudek, Hamann and Henchoz, who are now all in their mid-30s (and therefore had a very short shelf-life), or injury-prone stars like Harry Kewell, Liverpool needed a fairly complete overhaul.

Particularly as Owen and Heskey had left, and Djibril Cissé was about to arrive, all of which had been pretty much decided before Rafa took the job. (Also, including Cissé as a Benítez signing only further skews the figures.)

So the inaccuracies are clear for all to see. But let's switch things a little.

How did Ferguson overtake Liverpool? The situation was very similar to that now, even if it was a long time ago now.

Remember, both Ferguson and Benítez arrived aged 44, and inherited squads that had averaged 4th over the previous four seasons, and finished 4th the season before they arrived. All the fours, then!

Each had a massive burden of expectation, brought about by a desperately long wait for the title. Alex Ferguson's average league position in his first five seasons at United was 8.6 (11th, 2nd, 11th, 13th, and 6th). Benítez's, if Liverpool finish only 3rd this season, will be 3.6.

But Ferguson faced in Liverpool in the '80s an established team with a top-class manager. He couldn't get close to Dalglish during their time in the respective dugouts.

Ferguson spent more money between 1986 and February 1991 (£12.8m gross, £9.87m net) than Dalglish managed in his six seasons (£12.5m gross, but only £5.77m net), but got nowhere near to toppling the Reds in that time.

So United's net spend was virtually twice that of Liverpool, and yet Ferguson still didn't trouble Dalglish. The money Ferguson spent wisely in the late '80s on players like Ince, Pallister, Hughes and Bruce took four years to have any effect on the league title. This is only Torres and Mascherano's second season.

So why did Ferguson spend so much more than Dalglish?

Well, Dalglish (like Ferguson in 2004) had a lot of his squad already in place.

Grobbelaar, Hansen, McMahon, Whelan and Nicol all spanned the entire period when Dalglish and Ferguson managed the two English superpowers.

(Liverpool raised £3.2m from selling Ian Rush in 1987, but the Reds also spend almost as much to bring him back a year later.)

Those men formed the heart of Dalglish's Liverpool.

They were five players who didn't need to be signed between 1986 and 1991; the kind of quality that could cost a king's ransom if they hadn't already been snapped up before at the top of their powers.

Ian Rush, the sixth name, also had a Liverpool connection which meant that although he needed to be re-signed, it was a relatively easy deal because of his time at Anfield.

Of course, Rush's initial departure led to the greatest influx of talent seen under Dalglish: the wonderful quartet of Aldridge, Beardsley, Barnes and Houghton. So Dalglish was partly 'blessed' in that Rush, whom he inherited, at least raised enough money to rebuild the attack upon his transfer.

Ferguson has enjoyed similar bonuses more recently: selling his best players for big fees as they approached their 30s (such as Stam, Beckham and Van Nistelrooy). Such sales now help keep Ferguson's net spend down, but in his first five years he couldn't get such impressive sums for Ron Atkinson's flops. So his net spend was very high for the times.

Again, make the comparison with Benítez and the likes of Diao and Cheyrou, who raised nothing.

Benítez never had such a luxury. Owen's value wasn't great due to his contract situation, leaving £10m less coming in. The only seriously saleable asset was Steven Gerrard.

The biggest profits Rafa has made have been on players he himself bought: Crouch, Bellamy, Sissoko. Of course, he hasn't been in the job long enough to sell his real gems, in the way Ferguson and Wenger (with Henry and Vieira) have picked the perfect time to cash in on world-class players aged 29/30/31.

If Rafa wanted to sell Torres he could make a massive profit, but thankfully the striker still has five years before he even reaches 30. So it's not relevant. Ideally, Torres would score loads of goals, win Liverpool titles, and return to his beloved Atletico no earlier than 2014 for a big fee.

Therefore you cannot ignore the way Ferguson overcame Liverpool – not by spending more, but by spending twice the amount.

So there you have it. It took the resignation of Dalglish to open the way for Ferguson, who had spent twice as much money but only averaged 9th place between 1986 and 1991. No wonder United fans wanted him out in 1990. But it just goes to show how difficult it is to overtake a side that already has the momentum, but that the best managers get there in the end.

If Ferguson is thinking back to how he did so, then no wonder he's feeling worried.
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Postby bigmick » Thu Jun 11, 2009 12:16 pm

Bav the only beef I have with Tompkins is that he invariably talks sh!t.
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Postby tubby » Thu Jun 11, 2009 12:18 pm

Yeah but those are facts in that article Mick.
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Postby bigmick » Thu Jun 11, 2009 12:25 pm

No Bav, they look like facts, but they are in actual fact utter sh!t.

:D Sorry mate I'm not up for a sensible argument on Tompkins, I'll feck off to bed. They probs are facts the truth is I can't be bothered to read his aticles. Sorry fella.
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Postby GRAHAM01 » Thu Jun 11, 2009 12:30 pm

bigmick wrote:Bav the only beef I have with Tompkins is that he invariably talks sh!t.

don't hold back mic  :oops:
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Postby Owzat » Thu Jun 11, 2009 12:53 pm

mrt wrote:Owzat - Reina over Dudek COMFORTABLY?  Until the Forlan fiasco Jerzy was solid and his first season was arguably the best we've seen from a keeper since Clem/Brucie.  It's hard to argue with the number of clean sheets Pepe keeps, but I don't think it's as clear cut as you make out. Not havin' a pop, just my opinion :)


It's more Reina is so good, not that Dudek was that bad. I wouldn't even have to think twice before saying Reina is the better keeper. It's like comparing Gerrard with Hamann, a no brainer that doesn't reflect badly on Hamann

I could do a poll to prove it, don't think there's much point wasting space on the boards with a foregone conclusion. Dudek was good for a time, had good games and bad and played his part in Istanbul. I won't ask if you are polish or perhaps a Feyenoord fan, I can see why you might think I was dissin' the Dude but Reina is arguably the best keeper in the Premiership and right up there with the very best, Dudek never was
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Postby tubby » Thu Jun 11, 2009 1:57 pm

bigmick wrote:No Bav, they look like facts, but they are in actual fact utter sh!t.

:D Sorry mate I'm not up for a sensible argument on Tompkins, I'll feck off to bed. They probs are facts the truth is I can't be bothered to read his aticles. Sorry fella.

Guess the truth is hard to swallow sometimes.  :D
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Postby Alex G. » Thu Jun 11, 2009 2:08 pm

Dudek is a handball keeper, he´s terrible.
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