by Owzat » Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:12 am
Hard to say who has the harder run-in, but now at least Chelsea are in front, it's in their hands and they only have to match the mancs results or even can afford to lose if the mancs draw one - and have a minor GD advantage
CHE vs BOL (15th)
TOT vs CHE (5th)
CHE vs STO (10th)
LIV vs CHE (6th)
CHE vs WIG (16th)
BLA vs MNU (11th)
MNC vs MNU (4th)
MNU vs TOT (5th)
SUN vs MNU (13th)
MNU vs STO (10th)
Chelsea should win their three home games, three teams placed 10-16 in the league and not in great danger of relegation or a serious enough threat to Chelsea. Chelsea's two away games are testers, spudz can beat anyone on their day, but we don't have a great home record against the sides 1-9 in the Premiership = P7 W3 D2 L2.
Let's assume Chelsea win their home games and maybe pick up a win and loss away to give them 86 points, should be within 2-4 points of their final tally by my reckoning.
The mancs have just two home games, I would imagine they'll crush Stoke and quite likely they'll have the luck or rub of the green against spudz as normal so two home wins. I reckon Blackburn or Sunderland could get a point off them, probably Sunderland on their showing against spudz but then will their manager(s) roll over as is often the case? While I think citeh can beat the mancs, I'm not sure the rest will put up enough resistance which would mean 12-15 points for the mancs. I reckon Chelsea can't really afford to lose to us, even a point could be the difference between winning and losing the league. Maybe the CL will distract the mancs or deny them players through injury, something Chelsea don't have to worry about. I certainly think that defeat at Burnley was a one-off you can only hope might be repeated
Man Utd Premiership defeats 09/10
MNU 1-2 CHE (1st)
CHE 1-0 MNU (1st)
LIV 2-0 MNU (6th)
MNU 0-1 AVL (7th)
EVE 3-1 MNU (8th)
FUL 3-0 MNU (12th)
BUR 1-0 MNU (19th)
Both home defeats to top seven sides, away they are a bit shakier although that defeat at Burnley was the lowest side by far to have beaten them. Fulham have a good home record, only Chelsea, Arsenal, citeh and villa have won at Craven Cottage in the Premiership this season and they are all top seven sides and if not title contenders, contenders for Europe/CL
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