by Owzat » Tue Apr 28, 2009 3:21 pm
I remember a fair few years ago there was a major golf championship in progress and it was coming up to the last day. I knew a few blokes who played golf, not terribly well any of them, but I don't/didn't. I said Nick Price would win it, he was a stroke or two off the lead, and they made out I didn't know what I was talking about just because I didn't play. Price won, just shows that having skills, having played the game etc doesn't necessarily make you an expert. That claim re Cech being back in form was ridiculous, he has been poor on crosses and even lucky in some of his shot stopping in the past year or so and I don't need to have been a professional goalkeeper to know that.
The football focus and final score mob talk like they are experts, but they too come out with plenty of cr ap. They claimed Arsenal missed Flamini and then presented stats on how Arsenal had conceded more from set-pieces than the rest of the 'big four'. WTF has goals conceded from set-pieces got to do with Flamini's absence?!?!?!? Maybe a CB's absence might have contributed, but a DM?!? They also continue to cite the old line about the side winning the title "can't afford to lose more than 2-3 games". Man Utd lost FIVE last season, the fact is that the side winning most games wins the title. They mostly speculate like the rest of us, they quite possibly see more football than the rest of us and fair play can give a more informed opinion re technical issues etc, but their conclusions are no more fact based than most.
It just shows a lot of people believe based on who someone is and what someone said. I'm not going to suggest I know more than any ex-professional footballer, but I bet most would believe what an ex-pro or sports presenter says before what I say regardless which of us is right. They mostly trot out popular myths, I bet they've never done any research themselves in their lives. I do my utmost to separate my opinion from facts, usually facts can be backed up by stats, for example only six times has a team won the title in a 38 game top flight season and lost three or less games, 20 times the team that won the title lost five or more games - including last season. Yet I can guarantee the line about not losing 2-4 games will be trotted out forever more by ex-pros. I think that might have been Lee Dixon (or Martin Keown), in his Arsenal days that was what he would expect but in 1988/89 and 1997/98 Arsenal lost six games, I expect he fondly remembers 1990/91 when they lost only one.
But for the ultimate example of ex-professionals as pundits, arguably the greatest footballer ever, Pele, predicted an African nation would win the World Cup by 2000. He should have gone for 3000 and even then he might not be right. I will cut him some slack, he may not have believed it but have been saying it to boost African football and other reasons other than true belief
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